@quay_dr This Feb 2020 paper shows 1-12% CFR https://t.co/fNHbGIkNIL
@sarkov28 @s0ftqbEJBEzhK2S 水本が会見で出している図の元論文はおそらくこれです https://t.co/5tUJvlY7kd
The final death toll may well be higher, because mortality from COVID-19 rises when hospitals are overloaded. At the beginning of the pandemic, mortality in Wuhan was estimated to be 3 times higher than in the rest of Hubei province. https://t.co/BWLWhuL1
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: Reminder about the case fatality rate in Wuhan when the hospitals were overwhelmed: it was estimated to be 12%. We woul…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: When the hospitals were overwhelmed with the original strain in Wuhan, the case fatality rate was estimated at 12%. Chi…
RT @denise_dewald: COVID is a whole lot more deadly when you can’t get medical care because the hospitals are overwhelmed - case mortality…
RT @denise_dewald: COVID is a whole lot more deadly when you can’t get medical care because the hospitals are overwhelmed - case mortality…
@gershuni @realGreenerik @menachemzvi לא נכון. ההערכות נעו בתחום של 7%-13%. https://t.co/ly0bf4fu7o
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020 - Volume 26, Number 6—June 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/6nGv5TsK5A @CDCgovより CFRの推定。 time-delay adjustedってあるので、結局はその辺の議論になるか。
中国等のデータから2月に推計した致命率より遥かに悪いロンドンやNYの医学的理由は何?w → Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020 - Volume 26, Number 6—June 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/ae3ccJVhIv @CDCgov
@GidMK My money is on hypothesis number 1: https://t.co/mF9IUN8ev3 https://t.co/Tk6MEZPlv5
RT @DrZoeHyde: @drvyom Correct. Let's not forget that this happened: https://t.co/zxWKo1UhKS
@drvyom Correct. Let's not forget that this happened: https://t.co/zxWKo1UhKS
RT @CDC_EIDjournal: Estimating risk for death from #coronavirus disease, China, January–February 2020, #EIDjournal, https://t.co/DEucYvxXma…
Estimating risk for death from #coronavirus disease, China, January–February 2020, #EIDjournal, https://t.co/DEucYvxXma (#CoronavirusDisease, #SARSCoV2)
Core Pubmed: Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January-February 2020.: Related Articles Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January-February 2020. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020… https://t.co/kCRaitQrMW #coronavirus
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
@Sir_Thopas @NateSilver538 0.5% "If you were casually exposed to the virus in the workplace (e.g., you were not locked up in conference room for 6 hours with someone who was infected like a hospital), your chance of infection is ~0.5%” NIH - https://t.c
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
端折りすぎ感が強い。 時間遅れの調整について、1時間くらい講義していい(笑)。
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
China, United States, COVID-19. When the CIA looks into the truthfulness of Chinese COVID-19 deaths do they have the folks who understand this early study by a US and Japanese expert? https://t.co/9e9iKNNtl3 https://t.co/g8KPKHzooA
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @Rsider: そうそう、致死割合についての推定は、西浦さんの論文の共著者である小林鉄郎さん(北海道大学)が、数学セミナー5月号「新型コロナウイルスの数理」にて解説しています。単純に割り算するだけでは済まない数式レベルでの理解をしたい方はそっちへ。
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
RT @ClusterJapan: (続き)新型コロナウイルス感染症の致命割合に関する研究を解説します。 ▼詳細はこちら https://t.co/nQRmEQZ8SV #新型コロナクラスター対策ゼミ https://t.co/L7apZWN4cS
It just seems like a very specific figure for what is probably an unknown in #Australia? Publ. here with very specific figures for a known location (China): https://t.co/lb2vdl73nO via @CDCgov