@B17Fortres Sorry bro but no https://t.co/wFMOrC2Apk Even if you want to use the lower estimate of 50 million, that's still 10%
on the second wave of the Spanish Flu
RT @ferrisjabr: The CFR is the number of infected people that die. This influential 2006 paper states that the 1918 pandemic infected 500…
@niftynei @backus Yep, the second wave was also by far the worst in terms of severity. It hit 20-40y particularly hard https://t.co/mZtyT6QO7q https://t.co/Qay5FE4kUX
Reading up, there were other fatal respiratory illnesses for several years before 1918. https://t.co/mY7LlUtsYK
@rmapalacios @drhuerta @Minsa_Peru La comparacion con la gripe española no esta de mas. Buscando cifras "serias" encontre este articulo de la CDC que indica una mortalidad > 2.5%, sin ser mas especifico. Otras fuentes menos rigurosas indican hasta 6%. N
@RudyGiuliani The mortality rate from Spanish Flu -- the deadliest pandemic in history -- was approx. 2.5% [CDC]. So far, the rate for COVID-19 is higher (but will likely decline with more data). COVID-19 is a global heath crisis. You're a prick for mi
@mitchelltsai @AdamJKucharski Right now, they are determining the mortality rate of COVID-19 by dividing the # of deaths by the # of confirmed cases. The 1918 pandemic needs to have the same parameters. https://t.co/jgqvYUaYjy. This does state the mortalit
2/2 It isn't clear who spread the virus - US Soldiers or French- but according to the NIH (https://t.co/txGwCc1oeI) the gross xenophobic mismanagment & lies spread by the U.S. Gov. blamed Spain, the first country to report on the Virus & the only 1
@Jloseless @ABOverDrive Ok i looked up the sources on the english wiki as well, the numbers dont makes sense at all: https://t.co/Fai1VfD49V This is the source of the wikipedia article.
"In some ways, the 1918 flu never went away, it just stopped being so deadly. [All influenza A viruses, including the 2009 H1N1 "swine" flu, are descended from the 1918 pandemic]. https://t.co/R3vtQ8p8xn
A little bit of light reading about the 1918 “Spanish” Flu #FWW https://t.co/bYCjsBcjgl
@ScientificAnal1 Mortality rates for the 1918 Spanish flu were closer to 2% to 2.5%. “Case-fatality rates were >2.5%, compared to <0.1% in other influenza pandemics” https://t.co/vQtmPEW0hj
RT @PMoserEcon: @causalinf I like this paper https://t.co/vjsLJPELQC
RT @PMoserEcon: @causalinf I like this paper https://t.co/vjsLJPELQC
RT @PMoserEcon: @causalinf I like this paper https://t.co/vjsLJPELQC
@causalinf I like this paper https://t.co/vjsLJPELQC
1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics - Volume 12, Number 1—January 2006 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC - https://t.co/1XfH2Lqu6h
@N_PhilTration nvm 2.5% https://t.co/i0E0ByM4CN
@sedenion @Peekaboo_______ @FutEnFol grippe espagnole 1918 : https://t.co/oLGQwoIXE3 "The disease was exceptionally severe. Case-fatality rates were >2.5%, compared to <0.1% in other influenza pandemics"
@balajis Also 1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics: https://t.co/mZtyT6zdfS and there's a chapter in Nelson (https://t.co/e7L0yIZzF8) that talks about it and other influenza pandemics a bit
"The disease was exceptionally severe. Case-fatality rates were >2.5%, compared to <0.1% in other influenza pandemics." And COVID-19 is what so far? 3.5% case-fatality rates? 1918 H1N1 caused ~50 million deaths worldwide. Wash your damn hands. https:
"The first pandemic influenza wave appeared in the spring of 1918, followed in rapid succession by much more fatal second and third waves in the fall and winter of 1918–1919, respectively." https://t.co/qHQrI8d74B Will COVID 19 return in the fall? https:/
@floriankwiatek To są dane dotyczące grypy w ogóle, nie tylko wybranych przypadków. Np. tutaj można znaleźć artykuł naukowy o pandemii grypy z lat 1918-1919, w którym porównuje się ją do późniejszych czasów pod kątem % śmiertelności, etc. https://t.co/PNY
RT @crizzof: Casos iniciales de la «gripe española» (marzo 4, 1918): con una oleada en 1917 (G. Klimt falleció en febrero 6, 1918) se ident…
Casos iniciales de la «gripe española» (marzo 4, 1918): con una oleada en 1917 (G. Klimt falleció en febrero 6, 1918) se identificaron los 1os casos de influenza H1N1 en Kansas, EE. UU. W. Osler falleció en diciembre 29, 1919. https://t.co/M29ibBFgbJ
@Acosta Common #BacterialPneumonia is the killer. Most who get #COVID19 fully recover — if they don’t get pneumonia. Death rates from influenza & pneumonia in the U.S. rose sharply in 1916 because of a major respiratory disease epidemic beginning in De
@HardBackStrider Death rate for Spanish flu is estimated more in the range of 2.5%, not 10%), just FYI. 🤷♂️ https://t.co/lQEPsKSFyB
Don’t know where the BBC is getting its numbers, but the CDC references say the mortality rate of the Spanish flu was 2.5% - the same as current CoVID-19 mortality estimates https://t.co/vdA2Gl52v0 https://t.co/aSw7xQEL1u
@clairlemon I wonder how the death rate is calculated: the spanish flu killed about 50 millions people out of 500 millions infected, shouldn't it then be 10%? (from: https://t.co/BTDXXqdbgn) https://t.co/ue7KO7EPLA
"The World Health Organization said that COVI-19 has killed about 3.4 percent of those diagnosed with the illness globally — higher than what has previously been estimated."
Seriously, how can a paper claim that the 1918 flu pandemic kill 50M to 100M among ~500M reported ill, and simultaneously show a case-fatality graph that is ≤5% for every age group‽ There must be something I don't understand. https://t.co/zJXZfruaGA
RT @gro_tsen: @gruebelschnictr @kakape @WHO @sciencecohen There is something really fishy about the way the case fatality rate for the 1918…
@gruebelschnictr @kakape @WHO @sciencecohen There is something really fishy about the way the case fatality rate for the 1918 flu pandemic are counted: the graph is from https://t.co/T83nLsjvQi but the very first paragraph is incomprehensibly contradictory
RT @T_Fiolet: Les personnes atteintes de comorbidités (hypertension, diabète, cancer, maladies cardiovasculaires et respiratoires) : létali…
Les personnes atteintes de comorbidités (hypertension, diabète, cancer, maladies cardiovasculaires et respiratoires) : létalité >5% vs 0.9% quand il n'y a pas de comorbidité Source : https://t.co/CS81k9RScm Influenza : https://t.co/N6B9B89KSA https:/
Sources incoming. https://t.co/uIwhWPwqZP https://t.co/yAzkwC5yul https://t.co/ufl8gR4dGv
RT @alyssakeiko: Anyway the history is interesting if you’re not going to have a panic attack reading about it. I don’t think panic is help…
@Josh94475506 @JonWilsonAuthor @AbdulElSayed Figures I got are here: https://t.co/e6wZmEITr7 The 500,000,000 people infected and symptomatic do not include estimated asymptomatic cases or people who caught more than one mutation.
RT @tiburke: @kurteichenwald @TeamCavuto 1918 flu: 500m infected, 50m deaths = 10% CFR. Much higher than COVID19. https://t.co/G1gulrd5ig
@AscotBlack @Worldometers 1/ These numbers circulate and are widely copied. Note that saying CFR of 2% at a death toll of upwards of 50 million simply doesn't compute. Also CDC statement on 1918 flu is weird: states ~500 mio total infected, 50-100 mio kill
@Kirsty_H220 https://t.co/Hr38yxUasG gives some interesting data about this. One interesting note, it occurred during wartime and the highest mortality rate was amongst those who were old enough to fight.
@suedesantos @leandroruschel MERS data: https://t.co/Ts47yXQX9Y 1918 Spanish Flu: https://t.co/GhI4rHIHgu https://t.co/T1mMjwZAWf
@kurteichenwald @TeamCavuto 1918 flu: 500m infected, 50m deaths = 10% CFR. Much higher than COVID19. https://t.co/G1gulrd5ig
@interface7 Somewhere between 2-3%. https://t.co/UmMLe4M2aT while covid 19 is still going to be in a great deal of flux https://t.co/WsEYWEjucO Containment will be key to avoiding history repeat itself.
@jrActionJackson CDC says 2.5%. https://t.co/mBMDuS1u2B
some say this virus is not that serious, to be honest, at first thats what i thought - i have done a lot of dd this weekend - facts: 86,991infected, 2,978 deaths, math tells me that is close to 3% death rate. Compare 1918 flu -looks bad to me https://t.co/
RT @ferrisjabr: The CFR is the number of infected people that die. This influential 2006 paper states that the 1918 pandemic infected 500…
RT @ferrisjabr: The CFR is the number of infected people that die. This influential 2006 paper states that the 1918 pandemic infected 500…
Interesting reading: 1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics by Taubenberger JK, Morens DM. in Emerg Infect Dis. 2006;12(1):15-22. https://t.co/czFF67Kj53
Can be startling to see little reminders such as this. In 1918, the Earth’s population was 1.5bn people. Within just 100 years there now 5 times of many of us. (7.5bn people.)
@Zinnia1111 @IzraelThe @howroute I have a background in modelling pandemics / pathogens as well. Where are you getting your #’s from? Every source I know has case mortality at 1.7-3. World wide *infections* were estimated at 1/3. It’s true world wide death
The "Spanish" influenza pandemic of 1918–1919, which caused ≈50 million deaths worldwide, remains an ominous warning to public health. https://t.co/mdHAraBuKw
This succinctly states the percentage differences between the flu and the coronavirus: Still bracing for impact in the states.
RT @jasoncrawford: The 1918 flu is estimated to have ultimately infected over 500 million people—almost a third of the world's population a…
@LeaMcturnan Here are the data points for the 1918 Flu, sometimes called Spanish Flu. https://t.co/wCyioVZmTd
@dr_botanis @Eedwardsellis He is, and it was. https://t.co/wCyioVZmTd
@dolfer @Martina 1918 Flu, aka Spanish Flu ⤵️ https://t.co/wCyioVZmTd
@jeff_kaye "Insensitive and uninformed" are what made me tweet what I did. Yes, the stats aren't exact, even for the historical devastating 1918 Flu. But, we do have some pretty good research. ⤵️ https://t.co/wCyioVZmTd
The 1918 flu is estimated to have ultimately infected over 500 million people—almost a third of the world's population at the time—and killed an estimated 50 million. https://t.co/7vE1d8Kazh https://t.co/DdKAFTSk06
@predederva CDC article on 1918 Flu: https://t.co/wCyioVZmTd
@PaulQuinnBxl @quatremer Exactly. Case fatality rate from 1918 flu was just above 2.5%. https://t.co/uDAkJ3UyTy
@peteherzog Pete, you are absolutely correct, this is a great resource that helps clarify average mortality rates for flu. Thanks for pointing out my error! https://t.co/mTKX49KXhc
@WestergrenJon 1918 world population ~ 500 M 50 million died 2020 world population >7 B 14 x the population More than 70 M deaths worldwide may occur https://t.co/MUT4lHbY2k
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
@NaahidJohnspoon @StatsWay @McMeevin @seospider @BrianTu19056721 @alimanfoo @wendp58 Actually, it is estimated at 2.5%. https://t.co/3bHf6gglZl
@BiBiVirtue @Steinbeckfan1 Again, facts matter. Good reference on the "Spanish flu": https://t.co/kNRiXWicDN
@TxEduforchange Here's info on that. https://t.co/wCyioVZmTd
@oxidation420 @redwitch497 @realDonaldTrump The Spanish Flu pandemic had a mortality rate of about 2.5% and killed 50-100 million people. https://t.co/B5stov86al
@shkp @ckaggieac Here too. Just got cat food. My wee girl is set until nearly May. (Oh Lord don't let this go on that long!) People forget... before we had international flights. https://t.co/MSHJb1J42c
I think this one is worth retweeting. If you "Ctrl F" for "case-fatality," you will find the rates for the seasonal flu and for the Spanish flu outbreak in 1918. I think you'll understand why China implemented the strict measures in Wuhan. #coronavirus #CO
@ggronvall @chrislhayes I know the ask was for books, but I’d strongly recommend adding Morens & Taubenberger’s ‘Mother of all Pandemics’ article. https://t.co/74g5lkQ8vV
@viclizard14 @lucas1000k @JesusJimTor "1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics" Tasa de mortalidad para infectados por edades https://t.co/Zi0q87fMa8 https://t.co/MP9n10Q7IB
The mortality rate for the 1918 Influenza pandemic was 2.5% https://t.co/CINjXc0Onm
RT @aysuygur: Örnek olarak, ispanyol gribi benzer bir ölüm oranıyla tüm dünyada ~50 milyon kişinin ölümüne sebep oldu https://t.co/9O1snqo2…
RT @aysuygur: Örnek olarak, ispanyol gribi benzer bir ölüm oranıyla tüm dünyada ~50 milyon kişinin ölümüne sebep oldu https://t.co/9O1snqo2…
Örnek olarak, ispanyol gribi benzer bir ölüm oranıyla tüm dünyada ~50 milyon kişinin ölümüne sebep oldu https://t.co/9O1snqo2Eg . Panik elbette hiç bir durumda işe yaramaz ama tv’de zırvalanacak bir durumda da değiliz. (2/n)
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
When and Where Did the 1918 Influenza Pandemic Arise? Were the 3 Waves in 1918–1919 Caused by the Same Virus? If So, How and Why? What Was the Animal Host Origin of the Pandemic Virus? https://t.co/b4aE66Mbsh
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…
RT @mattdpearce: I was just puttering along reading this article, and it said the Spanish flu came back in 1977!!!!!! from a “freezer” http…